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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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HINCKLEY UNITED vs. WORCESTER CITY
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Hinckley United vs. Worcester City.
| Venue | Wins for equivalent team to Hinckley United (ELO score: 2819) |
Draws | Wins for equivalent team to Worcester City (ELO score: 2991) |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Away | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 DEC 2022 | CONF | Rushall Olympic (2991) |
3 - 0 | Hednesford Town (2819) |
8.1 |
A historical comparison of Hinckley United's and Worcester City's ELO scores.
| Hinckley United | Worcester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 2819.4 | 2991.4 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3190.2 Monday, February 8, 2010 |
3377.3 Saturday, August 30, 1980 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 2787 Saturday, April 6, 2013 |
2963.4 Saturday, January 4, 2014 |
A summary of all historical matches between Hinckley United and Worcester City.
| Venue | Played | Hinckley United wins |
Draws | Worcester City wins |
Hinckley United goals |
Worcester City goals |
Hinckley United SR% |
Worcester City SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 36 | 21.4% | 78.6% |
| HOME | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 21.4% | 78.6% |
| AWAY | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21.4% | 78.6% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 APR 2013 | CONF | Worcester City (3000) |
3 - 1 | Hinckley United (2812) |
6.3 |
| 3 NOV 2012 | CONF | Hinckley United (2907) |
0 - 5 | Worcester City (3108) |
11.5 |
| 14 APR 2012 | CONF | Worcester City (3104) |
1 - 1 | Hinckley United (3055) |
2.6 |
| 5 DEC 2011 | CONF | Hinckley United (3018) |
2 - 3 | Worcester City (3077) |
9.6 |
| 25 APR 2011 | CONF | Hinckley United (3076) |
3 - 1 | Worcester City (3020) |
10.8 |
| 23 AUG 2010 | CONF | Worcester City (3043) |
3 - 2 | Hinckley United (3132) |
11.3 |
| 5 JAN 2008 | CONF | Worcester City (3121) |
2 - 1 | Hinckley United (3095) |
7.9 |
| 13 AUG 2007 | CONF | Hinckley United (3151) |
2 - 4 | Worcester City (3149) |
17.2 |
| 6 MAR 2007 | CONF | Hinckley United (3142) |
3 - 3 | Worcester City (3150) |
1.2 |
| 20 JAN 2007 | CONF | Worcester City (3162) |
3 - 1 | Hinckley United (3162) |
12.8 |
| 24 JAN 2006 | CONF | Hinckley United (3092) |
1 - 3 | Worcester City (3101) |
17 |
| 15 AUG 2005 | CONF | Worcester City (3113) |
0 - 0 | Hinckley United (3049) |
3.3 |
| 2 APR 2005 | CONF | Hinckley United (3102) |
0 - 4 | Worcester City (3123) |
20.8 |
| 14 AUG 2004 | CONF | Worcester City (3100) |
1 - 1 | Hinckley United (3100) |
1.7 |